The Federal Reserve recently raised its target federal funds rate for the
first time since March 2000. This could be just the tip of the iceberg, though,
as many experts believe rising inflation and a strengthening economy will spur
continued rate hikes for the foreseeable future.
This is bad news for bond investors, since bonds lose value as interest rates
rise. The reason stems from the fact coupon rates for most bonds are fixed when
the bonds are issued. So, as rates rise and new bonds with higher coupon rates
become available, investors are willing to pay less for existing bonds with
lower coupon rates.
So what can you do to protect your fixed-income investments as rates rise
Well, here are five ideas to help you, and your portfolio, weather the storm.
Treasury Inflation Protected Securities TIPS
First issued by the U.S. Treasury in 1997, TIPS are bonds with a portion of
their value pegged to the inflation rate. As a result, if inflation rises, so
will the value of your TIPS. Since interest rates rarely move higher unless
accompanied by rising inflation, TIPS can be a good hedge against higher rates.
Because the Federal government issues TIPS, they carry no default risk and are
easy to purchase, either through a broker or directly from the government at
www.treasurydirect.gov.
TIPS are not for everyone, though. First, while inflation and interest rates
often move in tandem, their correlation is not perfect. As a result, it is
possible rates could rise even without inflation moving higher. Second, TIPS
generally yield less than traditional Treasuries. For example, the 10-year
Treasury note recently yielded 4.75 percent, while the corresponding 10-year
TIPS yielded just 2.0 percent. And finally, because the principal of TIPS
increases with inflation, not the coupon payments, you do not get any benefit
from the inflation component of these bonds until they mature.
If you decide TIPS makes sense for you, try to hold them in a tax-sheltered
account like a 401k or IRA. While TIPS are not subject to state or local taxes,
you are required to pay annual federal taxes not only on the interest payments
you receive, but also on the inflation-based principal gain, even though you
receive no benefit from this gain until your bonds mature.
Floating rate loan funds
Floating rate loan funds are mutual funds that invest in adjustable-rate
commercial loans. These are a bit like adjustable-rate mortgages, but the loans
are issued to large corporations in need of short-term financing. They are
unique in that the yields on these loans, also called “senior secured” or “bank”
loans, adjust periodically to mirror changes in market interest rates. As rates
rise, so do the coupon payments on these loans. This helps bond investors in two
ways: 1 it provides them more income as rates rise, and 2 it keeps the principal
value of these loans stable, so they don’t suffer the same deterioration that
afflicts most bond investments when rates increase.
Investors need to be careful, though. Most floating rate loans are made to
below-investment-grade companies. While there are provisions in these loans to
help ease the pain in case of a default, investors should still look for funds
that have a broadly diversified portfolio and a good track record for avoiding
troubled companies.
Short-term bond funds
Another option for bond investors is to shift their holdings from
intermediate and long-term bond funds into short-term bond funds those with
average maturities between 1 and 3 years. While prices of short-term bond funds
do fall when interest rates rise, they do not fall as fast or as far as their
longer-term cousins. And historically, the decline in value of these short-term
bond funds is more than offset by their yields, which gradually increase as
rates climb.
Money-market funds
If capital preservation is your concern, money market funds are for you. A
money-market fund is a special type of mutual fund that invests only in very
short-term money market instruments. Since these instruments usually mature
within 60 days, they are not affected by changes in market interest rates. As a
result, funds that invest in them are able to maintain a stable net asset value,
usually $1.00 per share, even when interest rates climb.
While money-market funds are safe, their yields are so low they hardly
qualify as investments. In fact, the average seven-day yield on money-market
funds is just 0.70 percent. Since the average management fee for these funds is
0.60 percent, it does not take a genius to see that putting your capital in a
money-market fund is only slightly better than stashing it under your mattress.
But, because the yields on money-market funds track changes in market rates with
only a short lag, these funds could be yielding substantially more than 0.70
percent by the end of the year if the Federal Reserve continues to hike rates as
expected.
Bond ladders
“Laddering” your bond portfolio simply means buying individual bonds with
staggered maturities and holding them until they mature. Since you are holding
these bonds for their full duration, you will be able to redeem them for face
value regardless of their current market value. This strategy allows you to not
only avoid the ravages of higher rates, it also allows you to use these higher
rates to your advantage by reinvesting the proceeds from your maturing bonds in
newly-issued bonds with higher coupon rates. Diversifying your bond portfolio
among 2-year, 3-year, and 5-year Treasuries is a good start to a laddering
strategy. As rates rise, you can then broaden the ladder to include longer
maturity bonds.